Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#160
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#169
Pace63.6#324
Improvement+2.0#94

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#188
First Shot+0.2#163
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#248
Layup/Dunks-2.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#62
Freethrows-1.7#286
Improvement+1.0#135

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#148
First Shot-0.2#172
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#69
Layups/Dunks+0.8#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+1.0#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 314   @ Bradley L 53-54 OT 76%     0 - 1 -8.3 -11.8 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2015 264   Eastern Illinois W 73-56 82%     1 - 1 +7.7 +2.8 +6.7
  Nov 20, 2015 201   @ Eastern Kentucky L 81-89 50%     1 - 2 -7.7 +2.7 -10.0
  Nov 21, 2015 291   Longwood W 78-67 80%     2 - 2 +2.4 -2.5 +4.6
  Nov 22, 2015 272   South Carolina St. W 72-60 76%     3 - 2 +4.9 -2.2 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2015 52   Valparaiso W 69-66 26%     4 - 2 +9.9 +8.9 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2015 213   IUPUI W 61-58 73%     5 - 2 -3.2 -11.3 +8.2
  Dec 05, 2015 326   New Orleans W 66-52 91%     6 - 2 -0.7 -8.4 +8.9
  Dec 12, 2015 129   Pepperdine L 63-72 53%     6 - 3 -9.5 -8.5 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2015 165   @ Indiana St. L 61-73 41%     6 - 4 -9.5 -9.2 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2015 315   Alabama A&M W 63-62 89%     7 - 4 -12.3 -7.9 -4.2
  Dec 31, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 73-48 95%     8 - 4 +5.9 -11.8 +16.4
  Jan 06, 2016 128   Toledo W 87-69 53%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +17.6 +15.1 +2.9
  Jan 09, 2016 137   @ Ohio L 73-79 33%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -1.2 -3.8 +2.9
  Jan 12, 2016 184   @ Western Michigan W 74-64 45%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +11.6 +4.7 +7.1
  Jan 16, 2016 244   Miami (OH) W 48-46 78%     11 - 5 3 - 1 -5.7 -15.9 +10.6
  Jan 19, 2016 182   Kent St. L 68-76 66%     11 - 6 3 - 2 -12.0 +0.6 -13.6
  Jan 23, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan W 88-87 2OT 38%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +4.3 -2.0 +6.0
  Jan 26, 2016 136   @ Buffalo L 64-76 33%     12 - 7 4 - 3 -7.2 -7.1 +0.1
  Jan 30, 2016 99   Akron L 64-73 41%     12 - 8 4 - 4 -6.3 -4.3 -2.7
  Feb 02, 2016 246   @ Bowling Green W 72-64 58%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +6.1 +4.4 +2.3
  Feb 06, 2016 184   Western Michigan W 75-71 OT 67%     14 - 8 6 - 4 -0.3 +3.5 -3.7
  Feb 09, 2016 137   Ohio L 69-72 55%     14 - 9 6 - 5 -4.0 -4.3 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2016 157   @ Central Michigan W 75-63 38%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +15.4 +5.2 +10.9
  Feb 16, 2016 244   @ Miami (OH) W 73-56 58%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +15.1 +2.4 +12.8
  Feb 19, 2016 163   Northern Illinois W 63-59 63%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +0.8 -2.6 +3.8
  Feb 23, 2016 128   @ Toledo L 67-77 31%     17 - 10 9 - 6 -4.6 -1.9 -3.1
  Feb 27, 2016 159   Eastern Michigan W 115-79 61%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +33.4 +23.6 +4.7
  Mar 01, 2016 157   Central Michigan L 57-65 60%     18 - 11 10 - 7 -10.5 -16.7 +5.6
  Mar 04, 2016 163   @ Northern Illinois L 69-80 41%     18 - 12 10 - 8 -8.3 +3.3 -12.1
  Mar 07, 2016 244   Miami (OH) L 47-49 78%     18 - 13 -9.7 -14.2 +4.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%